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balthazarCTRYesYesYesYesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the nationwide ground stop be lifted Nov 14, 2–3 AM ET?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$31.31
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares643
Combined PnL-$28.46
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL-$2.86
Yes — 80%No — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
balthazarCTR | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $179.41 | — | -$7.94 | 44% 5041-6482 (11523) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3¢ | $18.78 | — | -$18.78 | 39% 3605-5672 (9277) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $0.67 | — | -$0.67 | 18% 853-3905 (4758) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $24.44 | — | -$1.06 | 29% 3160-7827 (10987) |
AH aHjCz<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | $66.33 | — | -$2.86 | 25% 1308-3933 (5241) |
balthazarCTRInvested
$179.41
Value
—
PnL
-$7.94
Record
44%
5041-6482 (11523)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$18.78
Value
—
PnL
-$18.78
Record
39%
3605-5672 (9277)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$0.67
Value
—
PnL
-$0.67
Record
18%
853-3905 (4758)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$24.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.06
Record
29%
3160-7827 (10987)
AH
aHjCz<$100Invested
$66.33
Value
—
PnL
-$2.86
Record
25%
1308-3933 (5241)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xeecf0a3f...8aedd1
Slug
will-the-nationwide-ground-stop-be-lifted-nov-14-23-am-et