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balthazarCTRYesYesYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the nationwide ground stop be lifted Nov 14, 12–1 AM ET?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$30.73
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares583
Combined PnL-$30.73
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
balthazarCTR | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $179.41 | — | -$7.94 | 44% 5041-6482 (11523) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.6¢ | $78.92 | — | -$17.37 | 39% 3605-5672 (9277) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 18% 853-3905 (4758) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 29% 3160-7827 (10987) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $3.53 | — | -$3.42 | 25% 1308-3933 (5241) |
balthazarCTRInvested
$179.41
Value
—
PnL
-$7.94
Record
44%
5041-6482 (11523)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$78.92
Value
—
PnL
-$17.37
Record
39%
3605-5672 (9277)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
18%
853-3905 (4758)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
29%
3160-7827 (10987)
AH
aHjCzCTR<$100Invested
$3.53
Value
—
PnL
-$3.42
Record
25%
1308-3933 (5241)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc0ec0d2b...b85aa7
Slug
will-the-nationwide-ground-stop-be-lifted-nov-14-121-am-et