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CosmicCedarNo
Dr.mett<$100No
balthazar<$100NoYesYesYesNo Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the nationwide ground stop be lifted Nov 13, 11 PM – Nov 14, 12 AM ET?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 40%
Total Value
$224.87
Combined PnL
-$34.41
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$224.87
Total Shares225
Combined PnL-$2.72
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares830
Combined PnL-$31.69
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() CosmicCedar | Noavg 99¢ | $217.8 | $220 | +$2.2 | 33% 48-96 (144) |
![]() Dr.mett<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | $4.82 | $4.87 | +$0.05 | — 13-2 (15) |
![]() balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | $64.6 | — | -$2.78 | 44% 5041-6482 (11523) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.2¢ | $24.45 | — | -$19.35 | 39% 3605-5672 (9277) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $11.03 | — | -$11.03 | 18% 853-3905 (4758) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 29% 3160-7827 (10987) |
AH aHjCz<$100 | Noavg 98¢ | $65.66 | — | -$2.19 | 25% 1308-3933 (5241) |
CosmicCedarInvested
$217.8
Value
$220
PnL
+$2.2
Record
33%
48-96 (144)
Dr.mett<$100Invested
$4.82
Value
$4.87
PnL
+$0.05
Record
—
13-2 (15)
balthazar<$100Invested
$64.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.78
Record
44%
5041-6482 (11523)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$24.45
Value
—
PnL
-$19.35
Record
39%
3605-5672 (9277)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$11.03
Value
—
PnL
-$11.03
Record
18%
853-3905 (4758)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
29%
3160-7827 (10987)
AH
aHjCz<$100Invested
$65.66
Value
—
PnL
-$2.19
Record
25%
1308-3933 (5241)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd6472db2...99ff95
Slug
will-the-nationwide-ground-stop-be-lifted-nov-13-11-pm12-am-et