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CosmicCedarNoNoNo
balthazarCTRYesYesNoYes
HoshinoAICTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the nationwide ground stop be lifted Nov 13, 10–11 PM ET?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 40%
Total Value
$777.65
Combined PnL
$4.6
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$777.65
Total Shares778
Combined PnL+$10.72
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares616
Combined PnL-$6.11
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CosmicCedar | Noavg 98.5¢ | $422.99 | $429.27 | +$6.28 | 33% 48-96 (144) |
PA PacersThreeandahalf | Noavg 99.7¢ | $347.29 | $348.34 | +$1.05 | 61% 1027-652 (1679) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73 | Noavg 95.3¢ | $142.5 | $0.04 | +$4.47 | 24% 93-287 (380) |
balthazarCTR | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $146.93 | — | +$4.91 | 44% 5041-6482 (11523) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $443.82 | — | -$2.76 | 39% 3605-5672 (9277) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 99.1¢ | $24.57 | — | -$1.08 | 29% 3160-7827 (10987) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $3.53 | — | -$2.94 | 25% 1308-3933 (5241) |
HoshinoAICTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.4¢ | $5.63 | — | -$5.33 | 29% 20-48 (68) |
CosmicCedarInvested
$422.99
Value
$429.27
PnL
+$6.28
Record
33%
48-96 (144)
PA
PacersThreeandahalfInvested
$347.29
Value
$348.34
PnL
+$1.05
Record
61%
1027-652 (1679)
0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73Invested
$142.5
Value
$0.04
PnL
+$4.47
Record
24%
93-287 (380)
balthazarCTRInvested
$146.93
Value
—
PnL
+$4.91
Record
44%
5041-6482 (11523)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTRInvested
$443.82
Value
—
PnL
-$2.76
Record
39%
3605-5672 (9277)
QW
qwen300.fund<$100Invested
$24.57
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
29%
3160-7827 (10987)
AH
aHjCzCTR<$100Invested
$3.53
Value
—
PnL
-$2.94
Record
25%
1308-3933 (5241)
HoshinoAICTR<$100Invested
$5.63
Value
—
PnL
-$5.33
Record
29%
20-48 (68)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xea630136...651759
Slug
will-the-nationwide-ground-stop-be-lifted-nov-13-1011-pm-et