PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Yes 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$52.17

Smart Money Signal

Yes

9 of 12 top traders (75%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares470
Combined PnL-$52.17
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 75%No — 25%
BI
BiggggggggCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

2748-3287 (6035)

balthazarCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

20749-13168 (33917)

AL
alex20011CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

48%

3423-3704 (7127)

elmcap2<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

89%

1648-202 (1850)

0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4351-9364 (13715)

BI
BikesAreTheBikesCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$52.17

Value

—

PnL

-$52.17

Record

39%

1760-2794 (4554)

KO
korda77CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

4925-4530 (9455)

EL
Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

11142-3401 (14543)

Ahpo<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

86%

1607-251 (1858)

ME
merod<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

2436-2226 (4662)

HO
HourglassCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

8843-2624 (11467)

XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

14918-27049 (41967)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x52ae9de5...44c317
Slug
will-the-fed-pausecutpause-in-the-next-three-decisions-julsepoct-20260617191211943

Traders in this Market

BI

Bigggggggg

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0

balthazar

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
AL

alex20011

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0

elmcap2

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
BI

BikesAreTheBikes

CTR

Yes — $0

-$52.17
KO

korda77

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
EL

Elias.Thornwell

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0

Ahpo

No — $0

+$0
ME

merod

No — $0

+$0
Trade on Polymarket