Back to Markets
YesYesNoYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$4.72
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares208
Combined PnL-$4.72
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 80%No — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SI simplemanCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.5¢ | $5.24 | — | -$4.72 | 47% 453-515 (968) |
BI BiggggggggCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 46% 2742-3278 (6020) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 97¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4342-9342 (13684) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14901-27010 (41911) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3782-17081 (20863) |
SI
simplemanCTR<$100Invested
$5.24
Value
—
PnL
-$4.72
Record
47%
453-515 (968)
BI
BiggggggggCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
2742-3278 (6020)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4342-9342 (13684)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14901-27010 (41911)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3782-17081 (20863)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xa570b93b...5950ae
Slug
will-the-fed-hikepausepause-in-the-next-three-decisions-octdecjan