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NoYesNoNoYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$37
Combined PnL
-$1.42
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$37
Total Shares37
Combined PnL-$1.42
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO forgetfuldory<$100 | Noavg 92.9¢ | $37.2 | $37 | -$1.42 | — 2-0 (2) |
BI BiggggggggCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 46% 2742-3278 (6020) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 95.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4342-9342 (13684) |
CD CDAP1<$100 | Noavg 90.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 26% 8-23 (31) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14901-27010 (41911) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3782-17081 (20863) |
FO
forgetfuldory<$100Invested
$37.2
Value
$37
PnL
-$1.42
Record
—
2-0 (2)
BI
BiggggggggCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
2742-3278 (6020)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4342-9342 (13684)
CD
CDAP1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
26%
8-23 (31)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14901-27010 (41911)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3782-17081 (20863)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa25f2c13...934d82
Slug
will-the-fed-hikehikepause-in-the-next-three-decisions-octdecjan