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debasedCTR<$100YesYesYesNoNoNo
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$23.68
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares320
Combined PnL-$23.68
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 57%No — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
debasedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.9¢ | $24.09 | — | -$22.72 | 59% 2313-1637 (3950) |
FO forgetfuldoryCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.2¢ | $0.94 | — | -$0.96 | — 2-0 (2) |
BI BiggggggggCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 46% 2742-3278 (6020) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4342-9342 (13684) |
LI lissartter<$100 | Noavg 90.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 5197-7120 (12317) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 92.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14901-27010 (41911) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3782-17081 (20863) |
debasedCTR<$100Invested
$24.09
Value
—
PnL
-$22.72
Record
59%
2313-1637 (3950)
FO
forgetfuldoryCTR<$100Invested
$0.94
Value
—
PnL
-$0.96
Record
—
2-0 (2)
BI
BiggggggggCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
2742-3278 (6020)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4342-9342 (13684)
LI
lissartter<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
5197-7120 (12317)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14901-27010 (41911)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3782-17081 (20863)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x67998a00...02ad9d
Slug
will-the-fed-hikehikehike-in-the-next-three-decisions-octdecjan