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Yes
CoinTrick<$100No
Istaroth<$100NoNoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by October 31?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 25%
Total Value
$343.33
Combined PnL
-$202.86
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$164.3
Total Shares812
Combined PnL-$211.14
No3 traders
Total Value$179.03
Total Shares179
Combined PnL+$8.27
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Yesavg 24.2¢ | $317.46 | $164.3 | -$218.3 | 36% 16042-28051 (44093) |
CoinTrick<$100 | Noavg 97.9¢ | $96.92 | $99.03 | +$2.11 | 97% 3327-87 (3414) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 81.5¢ | $40.4 | $40 | -$0.64 | 18% 364-1623 (1987) |
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e<$100 | Noavg 83¢ | $33.2 | $40 | +$6.8 | 78% 281-78 (359) |
HI hithitfarCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$7.16 | 58% 634-467 (1101) |
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTRInvested
$317.46
Value
$164.3
PnL
-$218.3
Record
36%
16042-28051 (44093)
CoinTrick<$100Invested
$96.92
Value
$99.03
PnL
+$2.11
Record
97%
3327-87 (3414)
Istaroth<$100Invested
$40.4
Value
$40
PnL
-$0.64
Record
18%
364-1623 (1987)
0X
0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e<$100Invested
$33.2
Value
$40
PnL
+$6.8
Record
78%
281-78 (359)
HI
hithitfarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$7.16
Record
58%
634-467 (1101)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa44b594f...3e8d74
Slug
will-the-ethereum-volatility-index-hit-65-by-october-31