Back to Markets
Yes
probabilityYesNoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 30%-35%?
Resolved Yes. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 50%
Total Value
$1.3K
Combined PnL
$262.07
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$1.3K
Total Shares1,346
Combined PnL+$247.56
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares369
Combined PnL+$14.51
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN anciano | Yesavg 98.4¢ | $931.4 | $946.22 | +$14.82 | — |
probability | Yesavg 41.8¢ | $167.39 | $400.13 | +$232.74 | 38% 13-21 (34) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 3.8¢ | $12.73 | — | -$12.73 | 40% 3308-4936 (8244) |
SM smallreceiptCTR<$100 | Noavg 0.3¢ | $0.09 | — | +$27.6 | 19% 114-491 (605) |
MI mildwindow27CTR<$100 | Noavg 1.2¢ | $0.36 | — | -$0.36 | 29% 911-2193 (3104) |
AN
ancianoInvested
$931.4
Value
$946.22
PnL
+$14.82
Record
—
probabilityInvested
$167.39
Value
$400.13
PnL
+$232.74
Record
38%
13-21 (34)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$12.73
Value
—
PnL
-$12.73
Record
40%
3308-4936 (8244)
SM
smallreceiptCTR<$100Invested
$0.09
Value
—
PnL
+$27.6
Record
19%
114-491 (605)
MI
mildwindow27CTR<$100Invested
$0.36
Value
—
PnL
-$0.36
Record
29%
911-2193 (3104)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x1cec1297...b326ac
Slug
will-the-democratic-party-candidate-win-the-2026-vt-al-house-election-by-30-35