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CoinTrick<$100NoYes
Anjun<$100NoNo
vinii<$100NoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 55 by October 31?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$203.88
Combined PnL
-$60.17
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$124.68
Total Shares125
Combined PnL+$33.25
Yes2 traders
Total Value$79.2
Total Shares439
Combined PnL-$93.42
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $91.56 | $91.67 | +$0.11 | 97% 3327-87 (3414) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Yesavg 21.4¢ | $132.51 | $79.2 | -$94.25 | 36% 16042-28051 (44093) |
Anjun<$100 | Noavg 72¢ | $28.76 | $33 | +$13.98 | 55% 4924-3983 (8907) |
HI hithitfar<$100 | Noavg 74.3¢ | $24.68 | $0.01 | -$0.44 | 58% 634-467 (1101) |
vinii<$100 | Noavg 67.3¢ | $40.4 | — | +$19.6 | 74% 2789-1002 (3791) |
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.6¢ | $1.01 | — | +$0.83 | 78% 281-78 (359) |
CoinTrick<$100Invested
$91.56
Value
$91.67
PnL
+$0.11
Record
97%
3327-87 (3414)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTRInvested
$132.51
Value
$79.2
PnL
-$94.25
Record
36%
16042-28051 (44093)
Anjun<$100Invested
$28.76
Value
$33
PnL
+$13.98
Record
55%
4924-3983 (8907)
HI
hithitfar<$100Invested
$24.68
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$0.44
Record
58%
634-467 (1101)
vinii<$100Invested
$40.4
Value
—
PnL
+$19.6
Record
74%
2789-1002 (3791)
0X
0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100Invested
$1.01
Value
—
PnL
+$0.83
Record
78%
281-78 (359)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9cd0f233...d86089
Slug
will-the-bitcoin-volatility-index-hit-55-by-october-31