Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
Resolved No. 26% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
No 25%
$2.1K
$-2.3K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 19 top traders (26%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AL alex20011 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $718.6 | $719.46 | -$422.06 | 48% 3419-3695 (7114) |
KO korda77 | Noavg 99.6¢ | $712.08 | $715.02 | -$140.21 | 52% 4918-4516 (9434) |
 balthazar | Noavg 97.3¢ | $447.62 | $460.01 | -$41.39 | 61% 20693-13116 (33809) |
ME merod | Noavg 99.3¢ | $171.39 | $172.52 | -$33.43 | 52% 2427-2216 (4643) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.4¢ | $15.22 | $6.53 | -$8.69 | 36% 14865-26983 (41848) |
BI BiggggggggCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$155.41 | 46% 2739-3276 (6015) |
KA kaxel78CTR | Yesavg 20¢ | $1.8K | — | -$336.64 | 30% 259-603 (862) |
0X 0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 41% 43-62 (105) |
PO pollo07CTR | Yesavg 20¢ | $836.98 | — | -$145.74 | 31% 309-674 (983) |
ZE zerone777CTR | Yesavg 20¢ | $833.46 | — | -$148.65 | 40% 386-581 (967) |
VA Vale54holiCTR | Yesavg 20¢ | $744.83 | — | -$138.2 | 28% 164-422 (586) |
LI LikaseentCTR | Yesavg 20¢ | $652.4 | — | -$114.85 | 28% 190-480 (670) |
AK akrollCTR | Yesavg 20¢ | $889.39 | — | -$158.86 | 32% 315-677 (992) |
KL klli27CTR | Yesavg 20¢ | $1.1K | — | -$199.38 | 31% 292-648 (940) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR | Yesavg 10.5¢ | $2.1K | — | -$224.37 | 42% 135-186 (321) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | $1.41 | — | -$1.41 | 32% 4340-9336 (13676) |
VA vamosgamingCTR<$100 | Yesavg 20¢ | $18.24 | — | -$18.24 | 27% 195-523 (718) |
TY TyshaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.2¢ | $3.31 | — | -$3.31 | 73% 8239-3103 (11342) |
 0x138b1b19B71472e3c1A89F076924cD0467<$100 | Noavg 92.8¢ | — | — | -$9.85 | 41% 1593-2308 (3901) |
Invested
$718.6
Value
$719.46
PnL
-$422.06
Record
48%
3419-3695 (7114)
Invested
$712.08
Value
$715.02
PnL
-$140.21
Record
52%
4918-4516 (9434)
balthazarInvested
$447.62
Value
$460.01
PnL
-$41.39
Record
61%
20693-13116 (33809)
Invested
$171.39
Value
$172.52
PnL
-$33.43
Record
52%
2427-2216 (4643)
Invested
$15.22
Value
$6.53
PnL
-$8.69
Record
36%
14865-26983 (41848)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$155.41
Record
46%
2739-3276 (6015)
Invested
$1,752.09
Value
—
PnL
-$336.64
Record
30%
259-603 (862)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
43-62 (105)
Invested
$836.98
Value
—
PnL
-$145.74
Record
31%
309-674 (983)
Invested
$833.46
Value
—
PnL
-$148.65
Record
40%
386-581 (967)
Invested
$744.83
Value
—
PnL
-$138.2
Record
28%
164-422 (586)
Invested
$652.4
Value
—
PnL
-$114.85
Record
28%
190-480 (670)
Invested
$889.39
Value
—
PnL
-$158.86
Record
32%
315-677 (992)
Invested
$1,069.1
Value
—
PnL
-$199.38
Record
31%
292-648 (940)
Invested
$2,136.74
Value
—
PnL
-$224.37
Record
42%
135-186 (321)
Invested
$1.41
Value
—
PnL
-$1.41
Record
32%
4340-9336 (13676)
Invested
$18.24
Value
—
PnL
-$18.24
Record
27%
195-523 (718)
Invested
$3.31
Value
—
PnL
-$3.31
Record
73%
8239-3103 (11342)
0x138b1b19B71472e3c1A89F076924cD0467<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$9.85
Record
41%
1593-2308 (3901)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
alex20011
No — $719.46
korda77
No — $715.02
balthazar
No — $460.01
merod
No — $172.52
xtxpleasecallme
CTRYes — $6.53
Bigggggggg
CTRYes — $0
kaxel78
CTRYes — $0
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758
CTRYes — $0
pollo07
CTRYes — $0
zerone777
CTRYes — $0