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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will Thailand come in 3rd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?

Resolved No. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Yes 71%

Total Value

$70.31

Combined PnL

$5.14

Smart Money Signal

Yes

7 of 10 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No3 traders

Total Value$70.31

Total Shares70

Combined PnL+$4.6

Yes7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares426

Combined PnL+$0.54

No — 30%Yes — 70%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CoinTrick<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	$50.2	$50.25	+$0.05	99% 257-1 (258)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR	Yesavg 12¢	$109.02	—	-$19.36	39% 3661-5820 (9481)
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100	Noavg 83¢	$16.65	$20.06	+$3.41	25% 95-290 (385)
E4 e46m3CTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$3.28	—	-$3.28	42% 2632-3664 (6296)
HaradwaithCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$3.76	—	+$4.74	30% 197-458 (655)
QW qwen300.fundCTR	Yesavg 3.1¢	$157.54	—	+$18.94	29% 3215-8065 (11280)
balthazarCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$0.5	—	-$0.5	43% 5103-6732 (11835)
SU SulkingCryptoCTR<$100	Yesavg 10¢	$0.53	—	-$0	17% 25-124 (149)
AN anothercoin<$100	Noavg 88¢	$11.26	—	+$1.14	37% 1544-2643 (4187)
WA WarriorHCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	9% 15-143 (158)

Invested

$50.2

Value

$50.25

PnL

+$0.05

Record

99%

257-1 (258)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR

Invested

$109.02

Value

—

PnL

-$19.36

Record

39%

3661-5820 (9481)

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100

Invested

$16.65

Value

$20.06

PnL

+$3.41

Record

25%

95-290 (385)

Invested

$3.28

Value

—

PnL

-$3.28

Record

42%

2632-3664 (6296)

HaradwaithCTR<$100

Invested

$3.76

Value

—

PnL

+$4.74

Record

30%

197-458 (655)

qwen300.fundCTR

Invested

$157.54

Value

—

PnL

+$18.94

Record

29%

3215-8065 (11280)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

$0.5

Value

—

PnL

-$0.5

Record

43%

5103-6732 (11835)

SulkingCryptoCTR<$100

Invested

$0.53

Value

—

PnL

-$0

Record

17%

25-124 (149)

anothercoin<$100

Invested

$11.26

Value

—

PnL

+$1.14

Record

37%

1544-2643 (4187)

WarriorHCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

9%

15-143 (158)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

7 of 10 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x8147d292...d732d0

Slug

will-thailand-come-in-3rd-place-at-eurovision-asia-2026

Traders in this Market

CoinTrick

No — $50.25

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $0

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

No — $20.06

e46m3

Yes — $0

Haradwaith

Yes — $0

qwen300.fund

Yes — $0

balthazar

Yes — $0

SulkingCrypto

Yes — $0

anothercoin

No — $0

WarriorH

Yes — $0

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