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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Yes. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Yes 100%

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$289.61

Smart Money Signal

Yes

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes7 traders

Total Value$1.2K

Total Shares1,248

Combined PnL+$289.61

No3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

Yes — 70%No — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
ME melonmanm	Yesavg 54.8¢	$277.11	$501.22	+$224.76	65% 528-283 (811)
ZX zxc368	Yesavg 99.8¢	$491.31	$492.42	+$8	98% 13377-214 (13591)
0X 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960	Yesavg 94.1¢	$254.22	$254.22	+$14.95	63% 168-99 (267)
BiDiFakePolls	Yesavg 91¢	$454.99	$0	+$41.89	58% 184-132 (316)
balthazarCTR<$100	Noavg 11.6¢	—	—	+$0	61% 21355-13647 (35002)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100	Yesavg 69¢	—	—	+$0	53% 6697-5893 (12590)
LI lissartterCTR<$100	Noavg 6.6¢	—	—	+$0	42% 5285-7247 (12532)
EL Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100	Noavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	76% 11358-3527 (14885)
Istaroth<$100	Yesavg 32.3¢	—	—	+$0	18% 366-1654 (2020)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Yesavg 40.8¢	—	—	+$0	36% 16083-28096 (44179)

Invested

$277.11

Value

$501.22

PnL

+$224.76

Record

65%

528-283 (811)

Invested

$491.31

Value

$492.42

PnL

+$8

Record

98%

13377-214 (13591)

0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960

Invested

$254.22

Value

$254.22

PnL

+$14.95

Record

63%

168-99 (267)

Invested

$454.99

Value

$0

PnL

+$41.89

Record

58%

184-132 (316)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

21355-13647 (35002)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6697-5893 (12590)

lissartterCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

5285-7247 (12532)

Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

76%

11358-3527 (14885)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

18%

366-1654 (2020)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

16083-28096 (44179)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x532eb1b0...b0f28d

Slug

will-shas-win-6-7-seats-in-the-2026-knesset-elections

Traders in this Market

melonmanm

Yes — $501.22

zxc368

Yes — $492.42

0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960

Yes — $254.22

BiDiFakePolls

Yes — $0

balthazar

No — $0

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

Yes — $0

lissartter

No — $0

Elias.Thornwell

No — $0

Istaroth

Yes — $0

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $0

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