Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
Resolved Yes. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Yes 50%
$1.4K
$508.26
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnapElectionAvoider | Yesavg 69.4¢ | $726.56 | $999 | +$335.46 | 53% 1110-993 (2103) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Yesavg 72.6¢ | $614.14 | $237.27 | +$90.19 | 36% 15094-27222 (42316) |
JA JAMJAMJAM4 | Yesavg 67¢ | $123.28 | $184 | +$60.72 | 73% 3573-1312 (4885) |
 Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 90¢ | $13.43 | $13.33 | -$0.02 | 23% 288-962 (1250) |
 FrozenParasiteCTR | Noavg 30.6¢ | $866.38 | $0.1 | +$48.86 | 55% 446-365 (811) |
 ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yesavg 71.7¢ | $215 | $0 | -$16.43 | 56% 15268-11796 (27064) |
 balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 1¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.4 | 61% 20834-13247 (34081) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 43.1¢ | $9.6 | — | -$9.6 | 57% 13342-10199 (23541) |
 2B9SCTR<$100 | Noavg 15¢ | $0.52 | — | -$0.52 | 18% 3784-17134 (20918) |
Invested
$726.56
Value
$999
PnL
+$335.46
Record
53%
1110-993 (2103)
Invested
$614.14
Value
$237.27
PnL
+$90.19
Record
36%
15094-27222 (42316)
Invested
$123.28
Value
$184
PnL
+$60.72
Record
73%
3573-1312 (4885)
Istaroth<$100Invested
$13.43
Value
$13.33
PnL
-$0.02
Record
23%
288-962 (1250)
FrozenParasiteCTRInvested
$866.38
Value
$0.1
PnL
+$48.86
Record
55%
446-365 (811)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyInvested
$215
Value
$0
PnL
-$16.43
Record
56%
15268-11796 (27064)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.4
Record
61%
20834-13247 (34081)
Invested
$9.6
Value
—
PnL
-$9.6
Record
57%
13342-10199 (23541)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$0.52
Value
—
PnL
-$0.52
Record
18%
3784-17134 (20918)
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