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archaicNoNoNoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Sally Doyle win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$1.8K
Combined PnL
$253.27
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$1.8K
Total Shares1,838
Combined PnL+$252.66
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0.6
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
archaic | Noavg 97¢ | $1.8K | $1.0K | +$50.78 | 85% 1877-338 (2215) |
SN SnapElectionAvoider | Noavg 84.2¢ | $1.5K | $490.41 | +$243.52 | 53% 1116-998 (2114) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 83.6¢ | $300.22 | $258.27 | -$41.95 | 36% 15157-27275 (42432) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | $81.53 | $81.85 | +$0.32 | 77% 11162-3417 (14579) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.7¢ | $2.14 | — | +$0.6 | 53% 6437-5635 (12072) |
archaicInvested
$1,826.04
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$50.78
Record
85%
1877-338 (2215)
SN
SnapElectionAvoiderInvested
$1,517.54
Value
$490.41
PnL
+$243.52
Record
53%
1116-998 (2114)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeInvested
$300.22
Value
$258.27
PnL
-$41.95
Record
36%
15157-27275 (42432)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
$81.53
Value
$81.85
PnL
+$0.32
Record
77%
11162-3417 (14579)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
$2.14
Value
—
PnL
+$0.6
Record
53%
6437-5635 (12072)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb1ad74ba...0cab0f
Slug
will-sally-doyle-win-the-2026-huon-valley-mayoral-election