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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote?

Resolved Yes. 18% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Yes 67%

Total Value

$43.99

Combined PnL

$97.84

Smart Money Signal

Yes

2 of 11 top traders (18%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes2 traders

Total Value$43.99

Total Shares44

Combined PnL+$38.33

No9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares168

Combined PnL+$59.51

Yes — 18%No — 82%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100	Yesavg 12.7¢	$4.95	$39	+$34.05	24% 8014-25858 (33872)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR	Noavg 53.9¢	$629.03	—	+$38.77	33% 20011-40834 (60845)
Lucerys<$100	Yesavg 38.4¢	$0.71	$4.99	+$4.28	45% 18006-22281 (40287)
E4 e46m3CTR<$100	Noavg 5.5¢	—	—	+$0	63% 33619-19478 (53097)
balthazarCTR<$100	Noavg 8.8¢	—	—	+$0	34% 33217-64988 (98205)
NO northdrawerCTR<$100	Noavg 66¢	—	—	+$0	56% 23834-18418 (42252)
GO god83743894CTR<$100	Noavg 61¢	—	—	+$0	38% 16029-25855 (41884)
GO godblessme2026CTR<$100	Noavg 1¢	$0.33	—	+$20.74	44% 13945-17925 (31870)
QU quietparcelCTR<$100	No	—	—	+$0	48% 11465-12267 (23732)
HaradwaithCTR<$100	Noavg 65.2¢	—	—	+$0	40% 6684-10176 (16860)
IstarothCTR<$100	Noavg 70.8¢	—	—	+$0	13% 603-4221 (4824)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$39

PnL

+$34.05

Record

24%

8014-25858 (33872)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR

Invested

$629.03

Value

—

PnL

+$38.77

Record

33%

20011-40834 (60845)

Invested

$0.71

Value

$4.99

PnL

+$4.28

Record

45%

18006-22281 (40287)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

63%

33619-19478 (53097)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

34%

33217-64988 (98205)

northdrawerCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

23834-18418 (42252)

god83743894CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

38%

16029-25855 (41884)

godblessme2026CTR<$100

Invested

$0.33

Value

—

PnL

+$20.74

Record

44%

13945-17925 (31870)

quietparcelCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

48%

11465-12267 (23732)

HaradwaithCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

40%

6684-10176 (16860)

IstarothCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

13%

603-4221 (4824)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

2 of 11 top traders (18%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x8bdc487f...b224f0

Slug

will-republicans-win-89-of-the-black-vote

Traders in this Market

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $39

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0

Lucerys

Yes — $4.99

e46m3

No — $0

balthazar

No — $0

northdrawer

No — $0

god83743894

No — $0

godblessme2026

No — $0

quietparcel

No — $0

Haradwaith

No — $0

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