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CoinTrickNoYesYes
HaradwaithCTR<$100YesYes
balthazarCTR<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Philippines come in 3rd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?
Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 17%
Total Value
$112.74
Combined PnL
$7.96
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 7 top traders (29%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$112.74
Total Shares113
Combined PnL+$0.66
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares261
Combined PnL+$7.31
No — 29%Yes — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick | Noavg 99.8¢ | $112.57 | $112.74 | +$0.17 | 99% 257-1 (258) |
E4 e46m3CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $3.28 | — | -$3.28 | 42% 2632-3664 (6296) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.5¢ | $15.52 | — | -$2.77 | 39% 3661-5820 (9481) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $3.76 | — | +$8.02 | 30% 197-458 (655) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $190.06 | — | +$5.83 | 29% 3215-8065 (11280) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
AN anothercoin<$100 | Noavg 93.1¢ | $11.92 | — | +$0.48 | 37% 1544-2643 (4187) |
CoinTrickInvested
$112.57
Value
$112.74
PnL
+$0.17
Record
99%
257-1 (258)
E4
e46m3CTR<$100Invested
$3.28
Value
—
PnL
-$3.28
Record
42%
2632-3664 (6296)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$15.52
Value
—
PnL
-$2.77
Record
39%
3661-5820 (9481)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$3.76
Value
—
PnL
+$8.02
Record
30%
197-458 (655)
QW
qwen300.fundCTRInvested
$190.06
Value
—
PnL
+$5.83
Record
29%
3215-8065 (11280)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
AN
anothercoin<$100Invested
$11.92
Value
—
PnL
+$0.48
Record
37%
1544-2643 (4187)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbfdc9150...8912d1
Slug
will-philippines-come-in-3rd-place-at-eurovision-asia-2026