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NoYesYesNoNoNo
balthazar<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will PH win the 2026 Melaka general elections?
Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 67%
Total Value
$55
Combined PnL
-$5.58
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 7 top traders (29%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$55
Total Shares55
Combined PnL-$4.14
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares39
Combined PnL-$1.44
No — 71%Yes — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $54.95 | $55 | +$0.05 | 53% 7113-6221 (13334) |
KO korda77CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.5¢ | $1.18 | — | -$1.18 | 24% 100-319 (419) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2¢ | $0.26 | — | -$0.26 | 39% 3661-5820 (9481) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 99.4¢ | $9.94 | — | -$0.39 | 29% 3215-8065 (11280) |
GO godblessme2026<$100 | Noavg 99.3¢ | $46.95 | — | -$1.83 | 35% 290-535 (825) |
LU luciebot<$100 | Noavg 98¢ | $13.12 | — | -$0.33 | 26% 715-2057 (2772) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $49.9 | — | -$1.63 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
$54.95
Value
$55
PnL
+$0.05
Record
53%
7113-6221 (13334)
KO
korda77CTR<$100Invested
$1.18
Value
—
PnL
-$1.18
Record
24%
100-319 (419)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$0.26
Value
—
PnL
-$0.26
Record
39%
3661-5820 (9481)
QW
qwen300.fund<$100Invested
$9.94
Value
—
PnL
-$0.39
Record
29%
3215-8065 (11280)
GO
godblessme2026<$100Invested
$46.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.83
Record
35%
290-535 (825)
LU
luciebot<$100Invested
$13.12
Value
—
PnL
-$0.33
Record
26%
715-2057 (2772)
balthazar<$100Invested
$49.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.63
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0ae0d330...aa5f87
Slug
will-ph-win-the-2026-melaka-general-elections