Back to Markets
archaicNoNoNoYes
NadmiCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 75%
Total Value
$790.59
Combined PnL
$152.83
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$790.59
Total Shares791
Combined PnL+$161.48
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares274
Combined PnL-$8.65
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
archaic | Noavg 94.6¢ | $3.7K | $487.35 | +$159.68 | 85% 1877-338 (2215) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 89.4¢ | $233.5 | $235.23 | +$1.73 | 36% 15157-27275 (42432) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $67.94 | $68.01 | +$0.07 | 77% 11162-3417 (14579) |
PL plumbisCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.3¢ | $0.83 | — | -$0.68 | 57% 51-38 (89) |
NadmiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.9¢ | $7.97 | — | -$7.97 | 47% 2033-2250 (4283) |
archaicInvested
$3,691.35
Value
$487.35
PnL
+$159.68
Record
85%
1877-338 (2215)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeInvested
$233.5
Value
$235.23
PnL
+$1.73
Record
36%
15157-27275 (42432)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
$67.94
Value
$68.01
PnL
+$0.07
Record
77%
11162-3417 (14579)
PL
plumbisCTR<$100Invested
$0.83
Value
—
PnL
-$0.68
Record
57%
51-38 (89)
NadmiCTR<$100Invested
$7.97
Value
—
PnL
-$7.97
Record
47%
2033-2250 (4283)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x7627c2a9...7bcacc
Slug
will-peter-freshney-win-the-2026-latrobe-mayoral-election