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CoinTrick<$100NoYes
balthazar<$100NoNoNoNoYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 50%
Total Value
$49.69
Combined PnL
-$7.92
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$49.69
Total Shares50
Combined PnL+$1.07
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares51
Combined PnL-$8.99
No — 75%Yes — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick<$100 | Noavg 98.8¢ | $49.09 | $49.69 | +$1.07 | 98% 3113-75 (3188) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100 | Yesavg 17.7¢ | $8.99 | — | -$8.99 | 42% 137-189 (326) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 84¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20733-13148 (33881) |
12 123987456<$100 | Noavg 68¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 1824-2263 (4087) |
KO korda77<$100 | Noavg 81¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4921-4521 (9442) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 75.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14901-27010 (41911) |
SN SnapElectionAvoiderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 19.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 1103-984 (2087) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 79¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4342-9342 (13684) |
CoinTrick<$100Invested
$49.09
Value
$49.69
PnL
+$1.07
Record
98%
3113-75 (3188)
0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100Invested
$8.99
Value
—
PnL
-$8.99
Record
42%
137-189 (326)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20733-13148 (33881)
12
123987456<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
1824-2263 (4087)
KO
korda77<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4921-4521 (9442)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14901-27010 (41911)
SN
SnapElectionAvoiderCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
1103-984 (2087)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4342-9342 (13684)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x078aeb1e...528666
Slug
will-one-person-dissent-the-october-fed-decision-2026