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YesNoNoYesNoNo
Lucerys<$100No
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 29%
Total Value
$292.49
Combined PnL
$16.82
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$143.8
Total Shares394
Combined PnL-$87.52
No5 traders
Total Value$148.69
Total Shares149
Combined PnL+$104.34
Yes — 38%No — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GA GaditimaCTR | Yesavg 51.5¢ | $202.89 | $105.88 | -$97.02 | 48% 78-83 (161) |
AL alex20011<$100 | Noavg 15.3¢ | $8.42 | $55 | +$46.59 | 44% 1080-1379 (2459) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 15.3¢ | $7.65 | $49.99 | +$42.34 | 16% 47-240 (287) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.9¢ | $28.42 | $37.92 | +$9.5 | 41% 3063-4447 (7510) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 61.5¢ | $18.48 | $30.05 | +$11.57 | 29% 2568-6178 (8746) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 70.2¢ | $7.87 | $11.21 | +$3.34 | 53% 5455-4894 (10349) |
Lucerys<$100 | Noavg 79.3¢ | $1.93 | $2.44 | +$0.51 | 36% 3038-5350 (8388) |
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 48% 1223-1315 (2538) |
GA
GaditimaCTRInvested
$202.89
Value
$105.88
PnL
-$97.02
Record
48%
78-83 (161)
AL
alex20011<$100Invested
$8.42
Value
$55
PnL
+$46.59
Record
44%
1080-1379 (2459)
QU
quietparcel<$100Invested
$7.65
Value
$49.99
PnL
+$42.34
Record
16%
47-240 (287)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$28.42
Value
$37.92
PnL
+$9.5
Record
41%
3063-4447 (7510)
QW
qwen300.fund<$100Invested
$18.48
Value
$30.05
PnL
+$11.57
Record
29%
2568-6178 (8746)
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
$7.87
Value
$11.21
PnL
+$3.34
Record
53%
5455-4894 (10349)
Lucerys<$100Invested
$1.93
Value
$2.44
PnL
+$0.51
Record
36%
3038-5350 (8388)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
1223-1315 (2538)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdc187769...1776d6
Slug
will-nobody-wants-this-season-3-be-the-2-us-netflix-show-this-week-20261110