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Yes
balthazarCTR<$100Yes
LucerysCTR<$100YesYesYesYes
HaradwaithCTR<$100YesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Nepal win the public vote for Eurovision Asia 2026?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$18.19
Smart Money Signal
Yes
9 of 9 top traders (100%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares582
Combined PnL-$18.19
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $8.92 | — | -$8.92 | 39% 3661-5820 (9481) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
LucerysCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $2.13 | — | -$2.13 | 35% 3807-6929 (10736) |
QU quietparcelCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 34% 238-461 (699) |
MI mildwindow27CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.94 | — | -$0.94 | 31% 1057-2405 (3462) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.81 | — | -$0.81 | 26% 715-2057 (2772) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.63 | — | -$0.63 | 30% 197-458 (655) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.61 | — | -$0.61 | 29% 3215-8065 (11280) |
AN anothercoinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.16 | — | -$0.16 | 37% 1544-2643 (4187) |
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$8.92
Value
—
PnL
-$8.92
Record
39%
3661-5820 (9481)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
$2.13
Value
—
PnL
-$2.13
Record
35%
3807-6929 (10736)
QU
quietparcelCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
34%
238-461 (699)
MI
mildwindow27CTR<$100Invested
$0.94
Value
—
PnL
-$0.94
Record
31%
1057-2405 (3462)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$0.81
Value
—
PnL
-$0.81
Record
26%
715-2057 (2772)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$0.63
Value
—
PnL
-$0.63
Record
30%
197-458 (655)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$0.61
Value
—
PnL
-$0.61
Record
29%
3215-8065 (11280)
AN
anothercoinCTR<$100Invested
$0.16
Value
—
PnL
-$0.16
Record
37%
1544-2643 (4187)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x02bd1485...d3e08e
Slug
will-nepal-win-the-public-vote-for-eurovision-asia-2026