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HaradwaithCTR<$100YesYesYesYes
balthazarCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Nepal come in 3rd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$16.21
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 6 top traders (100%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares337
Combined PnL-$16.21
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $3.76 | — | -$3.76 | 30% 197-458 (655) |
E4 e46m3CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $3.28 | — | -$3.28 | 42% 2632-3664 (6296) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $2.04 | — | -$2.04 | 39% 3661-5820 (9481) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $35.48 | — | -$6.26 | 29% 3215-8065 (11280) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
AN anothercoinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.36 | 37% 1544-2643 (4187) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$3.76
Value
—
PnL
-$3.76
Record
30%
197-458 (655)
E4
e46m3CTR<$100Invested
$3.28
Value
—
PnL
-$3.28
Record
42%
2632-3664 (6296)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$2.04
Value
—
PnL
-$2.04
Record
39%
3661-5820 (9481)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$35.48
Value
—
PnL
-$6.26
Record
29%
3215-8065 (11280)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
AN
anothercoinCTR<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.36
Record
37%
1544-2643 (4187)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe1ad915d...06ba2d
Slug
will-nepal-come-in-3rd-place-at-eurovision-asia-2026