Back to Markets
NoYes
HaradwaithCTR<$100YesYesNoYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Nebraska Cornhuskers Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 67%
Total Value
$10
Combined PnL
-$2.56
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$10
Total Shares10
Combined PnL-$1.07
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares31
Combined PnL-$1.5
No — 29%Yes — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $9.98 | $10 | +$0.02 | 53% 7602-6693 (14295) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.5¢ | $0.94 | — | -$0.94 | 38% 3874-6342 (10216) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.5¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 29% 348-840 (1188) |
MI mildwindow27CTR<$100 | Yesavg 48.9¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 32% 1142-2481 (3623) |
AL alex20011<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $24.95 | — | -$1.09 | 43% 1137-1514 (2651) |
GO godblessme2026CTR<$100 | Yesavg 48.9¢ | $0.1 | — | +$0 | 36% 378-681 (1059) |
QU quietparcelCTR<$100 | Yesavg 48.9¢ | $0.1 | — | +$0 | 38% 334-535 (869) |
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
$9.98
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.02
Record
53%
7602-6693 (14295)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$0.94
Value
—
PnL
-$0.94
Record
38%
3874-6342 (10216)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
29%
348-840 (1188)
MI
mildwindow27CTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
32%
1142-2481 (3623)
AL
alex20011<$100Invested
$24.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.09
Record
43%
1137-1514 (2651)
GO
godblessme2026CTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
378-681 (1059)
QU
quietparcelCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
38%
334-535 (869)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x33bfb4a7...3bea63
Slug
will-nebraska-cornhuskers-win-the-2026-big-ten-championship-20260731204103008