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CoinTrickYes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNoNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 60 million views on day 3?
Resolved Yes. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 80%
Total Value
$101.64
Combined PnL
$7.71
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$100
Total Shares100
Combined PnL+$1
No6 traders
Total Value$1.64
Total Shares78
Combined PnL+$6.71
Yes — 14%No — 86%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick | Yesavg 99¢ | $99 | $100 | +$1 | 98% 3999-98 (4097) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 6.4¢ | $2 | $1.64 | -$0.36 | 53% 28648-25583 (54231) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Noavg 7¢ | $0.7 | — | +$7.87 | 60% 11493-7614 (19107) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 3.1¢ | $1.24 | — | -$1.24 | 35% 17577-32882 (50459) |
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293CTR<$100 | Noavg 0.7¢ | $0.07 | — | +$0 | 47% 1604-1792 (3396) |
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 55% 4345-3526 (7871) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Noavg 76¢ | $3.85 | — | +$0.44 | 30% 2124-4928 (7052) |
CoinTrickInvested
$99
Value
$100
PnL
+$1
Record
98%
3999-98 (4097)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
$1.64
PnL
-$0.36
Record
53%
28648-25583 (54231)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
+$7.87
Record
60%
11493-7614 (19107)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$1.24
Value
—
PnL
-$1.24
Record
35%
17577-32882 (50459)
0X
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293CTR<$100Invested
$0.07
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
1604-1792 (3396)
0X
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
4345-3526 (7871)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$3.85
Value
—
PnL
+$0.44
Record
30%
2124-4928 (7052)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9f7d8fa1...83f68e
Slug
will-mrbeasts-next-video-get-between-58-and-60-million-views-on-day-3-20261102