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No
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesYes
HaradwaithCTR<$100YesYesNoYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Minnesota Golden Gophers Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 75%
Total Value
$10
Combined PnL
-$2.61
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$10
Total Shares10
Combined PnL-$1.03
Yes6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares123
Combined PnL-$1.58
No — 25%Yes — 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $9.97 | $10 | +$0.03 | 53% 7602-6693 (14295) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.18 | — | -$0.18 | 14% 110-653 (763) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.5¢ | $0.94 | — | -$0.94 | 38% 3874-6342 (10216) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.5¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 29% 348-840 (1188) |
MI mildwindow27CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.1¢ | $0 | — | -$0 | 32% 1142-2481 (3623) |
AL alex20011<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $24.93 | — | -$1.06 | 43% 1137-1514 (2651) |
GO godblessme2026CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.1¢ | $0 | — | +$0 | 36% 378-681 (1059) |
QU quietparcelCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.1¢ | $0 | — | +$0 | 38% 334-535 (869) |
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
$9.97
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.03
Record
53%
7602-6693 (14295)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
—
PnL
-$0.18
Record
14%
110-653 (763)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$0.94
Value
—
PnL
-$0.94
Record
38%
3874-6342 (10216)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
29%
348-840 (1188)
MI
mildwindow27CTR<$100Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
-$0
Record
32%
1142-2481 (3623)
AL
alex20011<$100Invested
$24.93
Value
—
PnL
-$1.06
Record
43%
1137-1514 (2651)
GO
godblessme2026CTR<$100Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
378-681 (1059)
QU
quietparcelCTR<$100Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
38%
334-535 (869)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1ac005f9...65a9d0
Slug
will-minnesota-golden-gophers-win-the-2026-big-ten-championship-20260731204103007