Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?
Resolved No. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
No 100%
$4.2K
$5.55
Smart Money Signal
8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 noreasapa | Noavg 99.9¢ | $3.6K | $3.7K | +$3.65 | 91% 3581-335 (3916) |
ZX zxc368 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $199.8 | $200 | +$0.2 | 98% 13075-209 (13284) |
KO korda77 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $190.61 | $191.57 | +$0.96 | 52% 4970-4612 (9582) |
ME merod | Noavg 99.6¢ | $184.26 | $185 | +$0.74 | 52% 2463-2294 (4757) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 94¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21131-13457 (34588) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 95.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4438-9527 (13965) |
 IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 322-1323 (1645) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 87.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15634-27552 (43186) |
 2B9S<$100 | Noavg 90.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3806-17233 (21039) |
noreasapaInvested
$3,648.84
Value
$3.7K
PnL
+$3.65
Record
91%
3581-335 (3916)
Invested
$199.8
Value
$200
PnL
+$0.2
Record
98%
13075-209 (13284)
Invested
$190.61
Value
$191.57
PnL
+$0.96
Record
52%
4970-4612 (9582)
Invested
$184.26
Value
$185
PnL
+$0.74
Record
52%
2463-2294 (4757)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21131-13457 (34588)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4438-9527 (13965)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
322-1323 (1645)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15634-27552 (43186)
2B9S<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3806-17233 (21039)
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