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NoNo
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesYesYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Mikey Varas win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?
Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 29%
Total Value
$1.4K
Combined PnL
$3.11
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 7 top traders (29%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$1.4K
Total Shares1,365
Combined PnL+$4.47
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares428
Combined PnL-$1.36
No — 29%Yes — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE pelik | Noavg 99.8¢ | $814.5 | $815.75 | +$1.25 | 99% 1352-4 (1356) |
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e | Noavg 99.4¢ | $546.28 | $549.5 | +$3.22 | 26% 21-61 (82) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.3¢ | $1.36 | — | -$1.36 | 13% 50-326 (376) |
HY HypurrrrrrCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | $0.01 | — | +$0 | — |
IT ItlliccaaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | $0.01 | — | +$0 | — |
BL BlaorraCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | $0.01 | — | +$0 | — |
AV AvvnnnnCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | $0.01 | — | +$0 | — |
PE
pelikInvested
$814.5
Value
$815.75
PnL
+$1.25
Record
99%
1352-4 (1356)
0X
0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eInvested
$546.28
Value
$549.5
PnL
+$3.22
Record
26%
21-61 (82)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$1.36
Value
—
PnL
-$1.36
Record
13%
50-326 (376)
HY
HypurrrrrrCTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
IT
ItlliccaaCTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
BL
BlaorraCTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
AV
AvvnnnnCTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x78bb07f2...ec0f44
Slug
will-mikey-varas-win-2026-mls-coach-of-the-year