Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Matěj Gregor be the next Mayor of Ostrava?
Resolved No. 24% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
17
Yes 100%
$0
-$0.25
Smart Money Signal
4 of 17 top traders (24%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.6¢ | $0.25 | — | -$0.25 | 57% 41573-31331 (72904) |
E4 e46m3<$100 | Noavg 97.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 35967-22489 (58456) |
0X 0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100 | Noavg 97.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 38% 7325-12157 (19482) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 35522-84044 (119566) |
 Lucerys<$100 | Noavg 99.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18729-24497 (43226) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 21959-45848 (67807) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 98.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 47657-54240 (101897) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 99.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 66281-66811 (133092) |
GR graynotebook19<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 25592-21266 (46858) |
HA haveagoodday<$100 | Noavg 97.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 4010-6112 (10122) |
NO northdrawer<$100 | Noavg 99.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 25759-21588 (47347) |
KO korda77<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 8615-18479 (27094) |
SM smallreceiptCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 45% 16737-20424 (37161) |
MI mildwindow27<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 49% 24130-24681 (48811) |
LU luciebot<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 22% 3495-12141 (15636) |
 LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 14% 9535-61062 (70597) |
PL plainfolder<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 19570-19376 (38946) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$0.25
Value
—
PnL
-$0.25
Record
57%
41573-31331 (72904)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
35967-22489 (58456)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
38%
7325-12157 (19482)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
35522-84044 (119566)
Lucerys<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18729-24497 (43226)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
21959-45848 (67807)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
47657-54240 (101897)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
66281-66811 (133092)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
25592-21266 (46858)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
4010-6112 (10122)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
25759-21588 (47347)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
8615-18479 (27094)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
16737-20424 (37161)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
24130-24681 (48811)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
22%
3495-12141 (15636)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
14%
9535-61062 (70597)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
19570-19376 (38946)