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FrozenParasite<$100NoNoNoYes
NadmiCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Mary Duniam win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$36.2
Combined PnL
-$12.43
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$36.2
Total Shares36
Combined PnL-$0.46
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares86
Combined PnL-$11.98
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FrozenParasite<$100 | Noavg 74.3¢ | $11.25 | $15.14 | +$3.89 | 55% 449-366 (815) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 91.2¢ | $15.9 | $11.46 | -$4.44 | 36% 15157-27275 (42432) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | $9.5 | $9.6 | +$0.1 | 77% 11162-3417 (14579) |
HE HerrieDavisCTR<$100 | Yesavg 18.9¢ | $11.48 | — | -$11.48 | 36% 2035-3639 (5674) |
NadmiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 47% 2033-2250 (4283) |
FrozenParasite<$100Invested
$11.25
Value
$15.14
PnL
+$3.89
Record
55%
449-366 (815)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$15.9
Value
$11.46
PnL
-$4.44
Record
36%
15157-27275 (42432)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
$9.5
Value
$9.6
PnL
+$0.1
Record
77%
11162-3417 (14579)
HE
HerrieDavisCTR<$100Invested
$11.48
Value
—
PnL
-$11.48
Record
36%
2035-3639 (5674)
NadmiCTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
47%
2033-2250 (4283)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xda60f23c...54b134
Slug
will-mary-duniam-win-the-2026-waratah-wynyard-mayoral-election