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No
HaradwaithCTR<$100YesYesYes
balthazarCTR<$100YesNoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Malaysia come in 3rd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 20%
Total Value
$137.1
Combined PnL
$31.86
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$137.1
Total Shares137
Combined PnL+$18.82
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares384
Combined PnL+$13.04
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73 | Noavg 87.5¢ | $119.95 | $137.09 | +$17.14 | 25% 95-290 (385) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 8.7¢ | $64.86 | — | -$1.94 | 30% 197-458 (655) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Yesavg 9.5¢ | $190.85 | — | -$10 | 39% 3661-5820 (9481) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $192.31 | — | +$24.51 | 29% 3215-8065 (11280) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $11.25 | — | +$0.47 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
0X 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F<$100 | Noavg 87¢ | $5.69 | $0.01 | +$0 | 13% 22-150 (172) |
AN anothercoin<$100 | Noavg 83¢ | $10.62 | — | +$1.78 | 37% 1544-2643 (4187) |
SU SulkingCrypto<$100 | Noavg 88¢ | $17.6 | — | -$0.1 | 17% 25-124 (149) |
0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73Invested
$119.95
Value
$137.09
PnL
+$17.14
Record
25%
95-290 (385)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$64.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.94
Record
30%
197-458 (655)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTRInvested
$190.85
Value
—
PnL
-$10
Record
39%
3661-5820 (9481)
QW
qwen300.fundCTRInvested
$192.31
Value
—
PnL
+$24.51
Record
29%
3215-8065 (11280)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$11.25
Value
—
PnL
+$0.47
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
0X
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F<$100Invested
$5.69
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0
Record
13%
22-150 (172)
AN
anothercoin<$100Invested
$10.62
Value
—
PnL
+$1.78
Record
37%
1544-2643 (4187)
SU
SulkingCrypto<$100Invested
$17.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
17%
25-124 (149)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbd7523bb...99d0a4
Slug
will-malaysia-come-in-3rd-place-at-eurovision-asia-2026