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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will Malaysia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision Asia 2026 Grand Final?

Resolved No. 31% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Yes 50%

Total Value

$247

Combined PnL

$13.68

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 13 top traders (31%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No9 traders
Total Value$247
Total Shares247
Combined PnL+$137.92
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares354
Combined PnL-$124.24
No — 69%Yes — 31%
SB
sbimbg
No

Invested

$27

Value

$100

PnL

+$73

Record

—

11-4 (15)

MA
MarquisDeMott<$100
No

Invested

$76.31

Value

$77

PnL

+$0.69

Record

94%

118-8 (126)

XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR
Yes

Invested

$148.95

Value

—

PnL

-$124.76

Record

39%

3661-5820 (9481)

CI
cigarettes<$100
No

Invested

$39.74

Value

$40

PnL

+$0.26

Record

53%

7113-6221 (13334)

MI
mildwindow27<$100
No

Invested

$9.9

Value

$30

PnL

+$20.1

Record

31%

1057-2405 (3462)

HaradwaithCTR
Yes

Invested

$130.74

Value

—

PnL

+$5.77

Record

30%

197-458 (655)

ENORMOUZCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$5.1

Value

—

PnL

-$5.1

Record

—

17-1 (18)

LU
luciebotCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.16

Value

—

PnL

-$0.16

Record

26%

715-2057 (2772)

balthazar<$100
No

Invested

$7.44

Value

$0

PnL

+$14.4

Record

43%

5103-6732 (11835)

E4
e46m3<$100
No

Invested

$42.58

Value

—

PnL

+$11.7

Record

42%

2632-3664 (6296)

AH
aHjCz<$100
No

Invested

$12.33

Value

—

PnL

-$0.19

Record

25%

1318-3976 (5294)

SP
SPLPB<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

23%

515-1708 (2223)

QU
quietparcel<$100
No

Invested

$11.1

Value

—

PnL

+$17.96

Record

34%

238-461 (699)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xd53eec93...292459
Slug
will-malaysia-be-the-jury-winner-in-the-eurovision-asia-2026-grand-final

Traders in this Market

SB

sbimbg

No — $100

+$73
MA

MarquisDeMott

No — $77

+$0.69
XT

xtxpleasecallme

CTR

Yes — $0

-$124.76
CI

cigarettes

No — $40

+$0.26
MI

mildwindow27

No — $30

+$20.1

Haradwaith

CTR

Yes — $0

+$5.77

ENORMOUZ

CTR

Yes — $0

-$5.1
LU

luciebot

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.16

balthazar

No — $0

+$14.4
E4

e46m3

No — $0

+$11.7
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