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FrozenParasiteNo
paddaaCTR<$100YesNoNo
2B9S<$100NoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Louise Bloomfield win the next Hobart mayoral election?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$396.8
Combined PnL
$48.05
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$396.8
Total Shares397
Combined PnL+$81.05
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares290
Combined PnL-$33
No — 83%Yes — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FrozenParasite | Noavg 89¢ | $35.6 | $396.8 | +$81.05 | 55% 453-367 (820) |
paddaaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.4¢ | $33 | — | -$33 | 57% 823-628 (1451) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Noavg 79¢ | — | — | +$0 | 77% 11174-3429 (14603) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 83.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15244-27336 (42580) |
2B9S<$100 | Noavg 88¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3793-17172 (20965) |
SN SnapElectionAvoider<$100 | Noavg 85.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 1124-1007 (2131) |
FrozenParasiteInvested
$35.6
Value
$396.8
PnL
+$81.05
Record
55%
453-367 (820)
paddaaCTR<$100Invested
$33
Value
—
PnL
-$33
Record
57%
823-628 (1451)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
77%
11174-3429 (14603)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15244-27336 (42580)
2B9S<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3793-17172 (20965)
SN
SnapElectionAvoider<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
1124-1007 (2131)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb313b0de...c4f515
Slug
will-louise-bloomfield-win-the-2026-hobart-mayoral-election