Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Leanne Raw win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?
Resolved No. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
No 60%
$763.32
-$7.29
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnapElectionAvoider | Noavg 82¢ | $502.63 | $613.27 | +$87.23 | 53% 1116-998 (2114) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 71.1¢ | $136.25 | $131.19 | -$71.17 | 36% 15157-27275 (42432) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Noavg 90.2¢ | $17.02 | $18.86 | +$1.84 | 77% 11162-3417 (14579) |
0X 0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 41% 47-68 (115) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Yesavg 48¢ | $16.1 | — | -$9.9 | 42% 5204-7132 (12336) |
HE HerrieDavisCTR<$100 | Yesavg 17¢ | $9.3 | — | -$9.3 | 36% 2035-3639 (5674) |
 FrozenParasite<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 55% 449-366 (815) |
 ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Noavg 87¢ | $174 | — | -$6 | 56% 15274-11804 (27078) |
Invested
$502.63
Value
$613.27
PnL
+$87.23
Record
53%
1116-998 (2114)
Invested
$136.25
Value
$131.19
PnL
-$71.17
Record
36%
15157-27275 (42432)
Invested
$17.02
Value
$18.86
PnL
+$1.84
Record
77%
11162-3417 (14579)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
47-68 (115)
Invested
$16.1
Value
—
PnL
-$9.9
Record
42%
5204-7132 (12336)
Invested
$9.3
Value
—
PnL
-$9.3
Record
36%
2035-3639 (5674)
FrozenParasite<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
449-366 (815)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyInvested
$174
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
56%
15274-11804 (27078)
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