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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will Laos win the public vote for Eurovision Asia 2026?

Resolved No. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

22

No 80%

Total Value

$417.28

Combined PnL

$20.49

Smart Money Signal

No

16 of 22 top traders (73%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No16 traders
Total Value$417.28
Total Shares417
Combined PnL+$28.85
Yes6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares426
Combined PnL-$8.36
No — 73%Yes — 27%
Hannah-Montana
No

Invested

$143.46

Value

$148

PnL

+$4.54

Record

—

0-11 (11)

CoinTrick<$100
No

Invested

$49.95

Value

$50

PnL

+$0.05

Record

99%

257-1 (258)

MI
mildwindow27<$100
No

Invested

$36.96

Value

$40

PnL

+$3.04

Record

31%

1057-2405 (3462)

0X
0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354<$100
No

Invested

$36.1

Value

$39.14

PnL

+$3.04

Record

61%

773-494 (1267)

CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100
No

Invested

$32.64

Value

$37.29

PnL

+$4.65

Record

65%

4332-2355 (6687)

SM
smallreceipt<$100
No

Invested

$27.6

Value

$30

PnL

+$2.4

Record

30%

253-582 (835)

0X
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100
No

Invested

$22.37

Value

$23.52

PnL

+$1.15

Record

46%

1139-1332 (2471)

CI
cigarettes<$100
No

Invested

$18.5

Value

$20

PnL

+$1.5

Record

53%

7113-6221 (13334)

0X
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100
No

Invested

$11.03

Value

$11.98

PnL

+$0.95

Record

51%

847-812 (1659)

GO
godblessme2026<$100
No

Invested

$6.49

Value

$7.02

PnL

+$0.53

Record

35%

290-535 (825)

0X
0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100
No

Invested

$4.57

Value

$5.18

PnL

+$0.61

Record

49%

828-860 (1688)

0X
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658<$100
No

Invested

$4.55

Value

$5.15

PnL

+$0.6

Record

57%

747-553 (1300)

XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR
Yes

Invested

$142.19

Value

—

PnL

-$7.79

Record

39%

3661-5820 (9481)

balthazarCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$9.24

Value

—

PnL

-$1.19

Record

43%

5103-6732 (11835)

QU
quietparcelCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.03

Value

—

PnL

-$0.03

Record

34%

238-461 (699)

QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$18.43

Value

—

PnL

+$0.65

Record

29%

3215-8065 (11280)

Haradwaith<$100
No

Invested

$18.96

Value

$0

PnL

+$0.86

Record

30%

197-458 (655)

Lucerys<$100
No

Invested

$60.84

Value

—

PnL

+$4.3

Record

35%

3807-6929 (10736)

AN
anothercoin<$100
No

Invested

$4.6

Value

—

PnL

+$0.24

Record

37%

1544-2643 (4187)

ME
merodCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

17%

88-433 (521)

KO
korda77CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

24%

100-319 (419)

LU
luciebot<$100
No

Invested

$24.8

Value

—

PnL

+$0.38

Record

26%

715-2057 (2772)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x601631e7...ccaf52
Slug
will-laos-win-the-public-vote-for-eurovision-asia-2026

Traders in this Market

Hannah-Montana

No — $148

+$4.54

CoinTrick

No — $50

+$0.05
MI

mildwindow27

No — $40

+$3.04
0X

0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354

No — $39.14

+$3.04
CB

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

No — $37.29

+$4.65
SM

smallreceipt

No — $30

+$2.4
0X

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

No — $23.52

+$1.15
CI

cigarettes

No — $20

+$1.5
0X

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

No — $11.98

+$0.95
GO

godblessme2026

No — $7.02

+$0.53
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