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Hannah-MontanaNoNo
balthazar<$100No
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesYes
HaradwaithCTR<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Laos be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 60%
Total Value
$728.11
Combined PnL
$75.12
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$728.11
Total Shares728
Combined PnL+$86.38
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares331
Combined PnL-$11.26
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hannah-Montana | Noavg 90.7¢ | $607.3 | $669.26 | +$61.96 | — 0-11 (11) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 74.5¢ | $29.8 | $40 | +$10.2 | 53% 7113-6221 (13334) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 45¢ | $21.9 | $18.85 | +$14.6 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | $54.83 | — | +$4.72 | 14% 90-553 (643) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Yesavg 17.7¢ | $104.29 | — | -$23.18 | 39% 3661-5820 (9481) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 23¢ | $27.6 | — | +$7.2 | 30% 197-458 (655) |
SU SulkingCrypto<$100 | Noavg 76¢ | $28.57 | — | -$0.38 | 17% 25-124 (149) |
Hannah-MontanaInvested
$607.3
Value
$669.26
PnL
+$61.96
Record
—
0-11 (11)
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
$29.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$10.2
Record
53%
7113-6221 (13334)
balthazar<$100Invested
$21.9
Value
$18.85
PnL
+$14.6
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$54.83
Value
—
PnL
+$4.72
Record
14%
90-553 (643)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTRInvested
$104.29
Value
—
PnL
-$23.18
Record
39%
3661-5820 (9481)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$27.6
Value
—
PnL
+$7.2
Record
30%
197-458 (655)
SU
SulkingCrypto<$100Invested
$28.57
Value
—
PnL
-$0.38
Record
17%
25-124 (149)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5e1a7043...fef7ef
Slug
will-laos-be-in-the-top-3-at-eurovision-asia-2026