Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?
Resolved No. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
No 88%
$1.2K
-$15.79
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 75¢ | $724.48 | $529.81 | -$75.08 | 36% 15157-27275 (42432) |
 paddaa | Noavg 78.4¢ | $317.77 | $382.84 | +$139.41 | 57% 818-626 (1444) |
JA JAMJAMJAM4 | Noavg 82¢ | $118.96 | $145.07 | +$26.11 | 73% 3574-1312 (4886) |
 FrozenParasite | Noavg 83¢ | $83 | $100 | +$17 | 55% 449-366 (815) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 66.6¢ | $46.6 | $70 | +$21.07 | 61% 20889-13298 (34187) |
 Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 71¢ | $6.38 | $6 | -$0.26 | 22% 291-1025 (1316) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Noavg 79¢ | $3.95 | $5 | +$1.05 | 77% 11162-3417 (14579) |
SN SnapElectionAvoiderCTR | Yesavg 16.4¢ | $145.09 | — | -$145.09 | 53% 1116-998 (2114) |
Invested
$724.48
Value
$529.81
PnL
-$75.08
Record
36%
15157-27275 (42432)
paddaaInvested
$317.77
Value
$382.84
PnL
+$139.41
Record
57%
818-626 (1444)
Invested
$118.96
Value
$145.07
PnL
+$26.11
Record
73%
3574-1312 (4886)
FrozenParasiteInvested
$83
Value
$100
PnL
+$17
Record
55%
449-366 (815)
balthazar<$100Invested
$46.6
Value
$70
PnL
+$21.07
Record
61%
20889-13298 (34187)
Istaroth<$100Invested
$6.38
Value
$6
PnL
-$0.26
Record
22%
291-1025 (1316)
Invested
$3.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.05
Record
77%
11162-3417 (14579)
Invested
$145.09
Value
—
PnL
-$145.09
Record
53%
1116-998 (2114)
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