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NoNo
balthazar<$100NoNoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$696.75
Combined PnL
-$364.08
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$696.75
Total Shares697
Combined PnL-$181.3
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares417
Combined PnL-$182.78
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 55.7¢ | $639.43 | $555.51 | -$197.88 | 36% 14550-25983 (40533) |
ZX zxc368 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $101.12 | $101.24 | +$0.12 | 99% 12646-180 (12826) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 49¢ | $9.8 | $20 | +$9.46 | 61% 20494-12853 (33347) |
LI lissartter<$100 | Noavg 65¢ | $13 | $20 | +$7 | 42% 5172-7103 (12275) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 41.3¢ | $80.72 | — | -$80.72 | 53% 6226-5465 (11691) |
SN SnapElectionAvoiderCTR | Yesavg 46.1¢ | $102.06 | — | -$102.06 | 53% 1087-974 (2061) |
XT
xtxpleasecallmeInvested
$639.43
Value
$555.51
PnL
-$197.88
Record
36%
14550-25983 (40533)
ZX
zxc368Invested
$101.12
Value
$101.24
PnL
+$0.12
Record
99%
12646-180 (12826)
balthazar<$100Invested
$9.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$9.46
Record
61%
20494-12853 (33347)
LI
lissartter<$100Invested
$13
Value
$20
PnL
+$7
Record
42%
5172-7103 (12275)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
$80.72
Value
—
PnL
-$80.72
Record
53%
6226-5465 (11691)
SN
SnapElectionAvoiderCTRInvested
$102.06
Value
—
PnL
-$102.06
Record
53%
1087-974 (2061)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6d6e1f3b...032e53
Slug
will-ken-yee-chew-win-the-2026-guelph-mayoral-election