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No
paddaaYesYes
Istaroth<$100Yes
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100Yes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Jo Westwood win the next Kingborough mayoral election?
Resolved Yes. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$1.0K
Combined PnL
$204.62
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$771.48
Total Shares1,122
Combined PnL+$56.11
Yes4 traders
Total Value$246.68
Total Shares247
Combined PnL+$148.51
No — 43%Yes — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Noavg 37.6¢ | $1.0K | $771.48 | +$87.1 | 36% 15157-27275 (42432) |
paddaa | Yesavg 46.9¢ | $180.47 | $233.33 | +$137.47 | 57% 818-626 (1444) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Yesavg 55¢ | $4.59 | $8.34 | +$3.75 | 77% 11162-3417 (14579) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 68¢ | $5.4 | $5.01 | -$0.02 | 22% 291-1025 (1316) |
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100 | Yesavg 41¢ | $27.25 | $0 | +$7.31 | 56% 15274-11804 (27078) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 15.5¢ | $12.4 | — | -$12.4 | 61% 20889-13298 (34187) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 51¢ | $18.59 | — | -$18.59 | 42% 5204-7132 (12336) |
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTRInvested
$1,000.54
Value
$771.48
PnL
+$87.1
Record
36%
15157-27275 (42432)
paddaaInvested
$180.47
Value
$233.33
PnL
+$137.47
Record
57%
818-626 (1444)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
$4.59
Value
$8.34
PnL
+$3.75
Record
77%
11162-3417 (14579)
Istaroth<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
$5.01
PnL
-$0.02
Record
22%
291-1025 (1316)
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100Invested
$27.25
Value
$0
PnL
+$7.31
Record
56%
15274-11804 (27078)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$12.4
Value
—
PnL
-$12.4
Record
61%
20889-13298 (34187)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
$18.59
Value
—
PnL
-$18.59
Record
42%
5204-7132 (12336)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x659d6f47...db8f6a
Slug
will-jo-westwood-win-the-2026-kingborough-mayoral-election