Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?
Resolved Yes. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
No 38%
$972.93
-$13.25
Smart Money Signal
3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 paddaa | Yesavg 53.1¢ | $519.66 | $674.07 | +$337.45 | 57% 818-626 (1444) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Noavg 29¢ | $636.87 | $221.58 | -$249.84 | 36% 15157-27275 (42432) |
 Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 70¢ | $26.57 | $20 | -$0.05 | 22% 291-1025 (1316) |
LI lissartter<$100 | Yesavg 68¢ | $13.6 | $20 | +$6.4 | 42% 5204-7132 (12336) |
 FrozenParasite<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | $10 | $20 | +$33.67 | 55% 449-366 (815) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Yesavg 64¢ | $11.06 | $17.28 | +$6.22 | 77% 11162-3417 (14579) |
 balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 33.1¢ | $23.2 | — | +$44.47 | 61% 20889-13298 (34187) |
SN SnapElectionAvoiderCTR | Noavg 40.3¢ | $191.57 | — | -$191.57 | 53% 1116-998 (2114) |
paddaaInvested
$519.66
Value
$674.07
PnL
+$337.45
Record
57%
818-626 (1444)
Invested
$636.87
Value
$221.58
PnL
-$249.84
Record
36%
15157-27275 (42432)
Istaroth<$100Invested
$26.57
Value
$20
PnL
-$0.05
Record
22%
291-1025 (1316)
Invested
$13.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$6.4
Record
42%
5204-7132 (12336)
FrozenParasite<$100Invested
$10
Value
$20
PnL
+$33.67
Record
55%
449-366 (815)
Invested
$11.06
Value
$17.28
PnL
+$6.22
Record
77%
11162-3417 (14579)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$23.2
Value
—
PnL
+$44.47
Record
61%
20889-13298 (34187)
Invested
$191.57
Value
—
PnL
-$191.57
Record
53%
1116-998 (2114)
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