Back to Markets
No
LiquidatedDegenCTRYes
CosmicCedarCTR<$100YesNo
Istaroth<$100No
probability<$100NoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Jackson Chourio win the 2026 World Series MVP?
Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 50%
Total Value
$19.1
Combined PnL
-$129
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 7 top traders (29%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$19.1
Total Shares19
Combined PnL+$0.15
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares429
Combined PnL-$129.15
No — 71%Yes — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZX zxc368<$100 | Noavg 99.2¢ | $19.1 | $19.1 | +$0.15 | 99% 12827-194 (13021) |
LiquidatedDegenCTR | Yesavg 40.4¢ | $129.15 | — | -$129.15 | 42% 1076-1460 (2536) |
CosmicCedarCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 59% 766-523 (1289) |
PE peepeepooppoop<$100 | Noavg 84¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 2026-1848 (3874) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 83.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 24% 285-905 (1190) |
probability<$100 | Noavg 57.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 41% 1348-1906 (3254) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 66.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15014-27067 (42081) |
ZX
zxc368<$100Invested
$19.1
Value
$19.1
PnL
+$0.15
Record
99%
12827-194 (13021)
LiquidatedDegenCTRInvested
$129.15
Value
—
PnL
-$129.15
Record
42%
1076-1460 (2536)
CosmicCedarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
766-523 (1289)
PE
peepeepooppoop<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
2026-1848 (3874)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
24%
285-905 (1190)
probability<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
1348-1906 (3254)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15014-27067 (42081)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xb4d72e71...33550f
Slug
will-jackson-chourio-win-the-2026-world-series-mvp