Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Yes β but No won instead.

Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?
Resolved No. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
11
Yes 63%
$284.65
$-1.6K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Anjun | Noavg 91.6Β’ | $242.71 | $264.99 | +$27.71 | 55% 5255-4341 (9596) |
![]() HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 12.3Β’ | $27.42 | β | -$150.33 | 40% 6684-10176 (16860) |
0X 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938CTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.7Β’ | $25.06 | β | -$25.06 | 45% 3029-3730 (6759) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 80.9Β’ | $10.1 | $12.48 | +$2.38 | 33% 20011-40834 (60845) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 81.2Β’ | $5.82 | $7.17 | +$1.35 | 58% 23579-16943 (40522) |
![]() dips.CTR<$100 | Yesavg 18.4Β’ | $4.61 | β | -$4.61 | 47% 11040-12658 (23698) |
EL elenaarybakin21CTR | Yesavg 18.1Β’ | $827.63 | β | -$827.63 | 39% 291-451 (742) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR | Yesavg 16.8Β’ | $655.87 | β | -$655.87 | 24% 8014-25858 (33872) |
![]() vtcchampion52CTR<$100 | Yesavg 15.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 48% 1175-1259 (2434) |
![]() IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 13% 603-4221 (4824) |
SU SulkingCryptoCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 16% 408-2125 (2533) |
AnjunInvested
$242.71
Value
$264.99
PnL
+$27.71
Record
55%
5255-4341 (9596)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$27.42
Value
β
PnL
-$150.33
Record
40%
6684-10176 (16860)
Invested
$25.06
Value
β
PnL
-$25.06
Record
45%
3029-3730 (6759)
Invested
$10.1
Value
$12.48
PnL
+$2.38
Record
33%
20011-40834 (60845)
Invested
$5.82
Value
$7.17
PnL
+$1.35
Record
58%
23579-16943 (40522)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$4.61
Value
β
PnL
-$4.61
Record
47%
11040-12658 (23698)
Invested
$827.63
Value
β
PnL
-$827.63
Record
39%
291-451 (742)
Invested
$655.87
Value
β
PnL
-$655.87
Record
24%
8014-25858 (33872)
vtcchampion52CTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
1175-1259 (2434)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
13%
603-4221 (4824)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
16%
408-2125 (2533)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market

Anjun
No β $264.99

Haradwaith
CTRYes β $0
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938
CTRYes β $0
xtxpleasecallme
No β $12.48
ghorrock
No β $7.17

dips.
CTRYes β $0
elenaarybakin21
CTRYes β $0
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271
CTRYes β $0

vtcchampion52
CTRYes β $0

Istaroth
CTRYes β $0