Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will FURIA Win the IEM Beijing 2026?
Resolved No. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
No 63%
$1.5K
$289.12
Smart Money Signal
17 of 25 top traders (68%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 noreasapa | Noavg 94.9¢ | $1.0K | $1.1K | +$82.6 | 92% 4208-355 (4563) |
CI cigarettes | Noavg 81.8¢ | $81.77 | $200 | +$17.42 | 53% 23826-20970 (44796) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Noavg 79.8¢ | $111.6 | $139.8 | +$6.3 | 53% 8621-7707 (16328) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 75.2¢ | $145.54 | $50 | +$4.09 | 34% 19429-36974 (56403) |
 DumplingBMF<$100 | Noavg 75.9¢ | $12.15 | $16 | +$0.96 | 69% 1892-868 (2760) |
WA WarriorHCTR<$100 | Yesavg 18.2¢ | $2.16 | — | -$2.16 | 17% 1362-6604 (7966) |
SU SulkingCryptoCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22¢ | $22.06 | — | -$1.06 | 17% 396-1985 (2381) |
BI BiggggggggCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.9¢ | $0.39 | — | +$0.8 | 32% 3291-7153 (10444) |
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493<$100 | Noavg 9.7¢ | $21.23 | $0.18 | +$166 | 53% 4541-4033 (8574) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.9¢ | $24.97 | — | +$0.06 | 53% 12589-11026 (23615) |
E4 e46m3CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.2¢ | $1.16 | — | +$12.5 | 67% 27580-13882 (41462) |
 balthazar<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 52% 31058-29024 (60082) |
LP lpgbCTR | Yesavg 1.1¢ | $257.85 | — | +$2.45 | 27% 614-1678 (2292) |
NO northdrawer<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 58% 16856-12167 (29023) |
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100 | Noavg 84.2¢ | $21.13 | — | +$0 | 38% 1235-2012 (3247) |
SP SpringlyFawl<$100 | Noavg 80.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 27% 2549-6956 (9505) |
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 82.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 10649-14114 (24763) |
0X 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100 | Yesavg 12.1¢ | $4.95 | — | -$0.85 | 23% 1809-6072 (7881) |
 Haradwaith<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 6572-9858 (16430) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 81.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 10380-11848 (22228) |
LU luciebot<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | — | — | +$0 | 28% 2890-7443 (10333) |
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100 | Noavg 84.2¢ | $25.5 | — | +$0 | 39% 1285-2015 (3300) |
0X 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100 | Noavg 78.2¢ | $23.75 | — | +$0 | 35% 1152-2097 (3249) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 26¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 21404-15543 (36947) |
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100 | Noavg 81¢ | $8.98 | — | +$0 | 45% 1839-2238 (4077) |
noreasapaInvested
$1,003.3
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$82.6
Record
92%
4208-355 (4563)
Invested
$81.77
Value
$200
PnL
+$17.42
Record
53%
23826-20970 (44796)
Invested
$111.6
Value
$139.8
PnL
+$6.3
Record
53%
8621-7707 (16328)
Invested
$145.54
Value
$50
PnL
+$4.09
Record
34%
19429-36974 (56403)
DumplingBMF<$100Invested
$12.15
Value
$16
PnL
+$0.96
Record
69%
1892-868 (2760)
Invested
$2.16
Value
—
PnL
-$2.16
Record
17%
1362-6604 (7966)
Invested
$22.06
Value
—
PnL
-$1.06
Record
17%
396-1985 (2381)
Invested
$0.39
Value
—
PnL
+$0.8
Record
32%
3291-7153 (10444)
Invested
$21.23
Value
$0.18
PnL
+$166
Record
53%
4541-4033 (8574)
Invested
$24.97
Value
—
PnL
+$0.06
Record
53%
12589-11026 (23615)
Invested
$1.16
Value
—
PnL
+$12.5
Record
67%
27580-13882 (41462)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
31058-29024 (60082)
Invested
$257.85
Value
—
PnL
+$2.45
Record
27%
614-1678 (2292)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
16856-12167 (29023)
Invested
$21.13
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
38%
1235-2012 (3247)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
27%
2549-6956 (9505)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
10649-14114 (24763)
Invested
$4.95
Value
—
PnL
-$0.85
Record
23%
1809-6072 (7881)
Haradwaith<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
6572-9858 (16430)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
10380-11848 (22228)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
28%
2890-7443 (10333)
Invested
$25.5
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
39%
1285-2015 (3300)
Invested
$23.75
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
35%
1152-2097 (3249)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
21404-15543 (36947)
Invested
$8.98
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
1839-2238 (4077)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
noreasapa
No — $1.1K
cigarettes
No — $200
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
No — $139.8
xtxpleasecallme
No — $50
DumplingBMF
No — $16
WarriorH
CTRYes — $0
SulkingCrypto
CTRYes — $0
Bigggggggg
CTRYes — $0
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493
No — $0.18
qwen300.fund
CTRYes — $0