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CoinTrickYesNo
ArmageddonRewardsBillyYesYes
LornaPredicts<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 60k?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$970.72
Combined PnL
$15.4
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$929.4
Total Shares929
Combined PnL+$15.42
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL-$0.02
Yes — 80%No — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $817.14 | $817.97 | +$0.83 | 99% 277-1 (278) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeARB<$100 | Noavg 10.5¢ | $75.45 | $41.31 | +$17 | 39% 3708-5917 (9625) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 10.5¢ | $29.35 | — | -$6.83 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 37¢ | $15.3 | $41.31 | +$23.83 | |
ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yesavg 89.9¢ | $179.69 | $99.99 | +$13.6 | 48% 1238-1325 (2563) |
NO nonkenny90<$100 | Yesavg 91.5¢ | $9.15 | $10 | +$0.85 | 91% 20-2 (22) |
LornaPredicts<$100 | Yesavg 90.3¢ | $1.3 | $1.44 | +$0.14 | 14% 93-569 (662) |
SU SulkingCryptoCTR<$100 | Noavg 23.9¢ | $4.78 | — | -$0.02 | 17% 29-141 (170) |
CoinTrickInvested
$817.14
Value
$817.97
PnL
+$0.83
Record
99%
277-1 (278)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeARB<$100Invested
$75.45
Value
$41.31
PnL
+$17
Record
39%
3708-5917 (9625)
Both legs:
No$29.3510.5¢-$6.83
Yes$15.337¢+$23.83
ArmageddonRewardsBillyInvested
$179.69
Value
$99.99
PnL
+$13.6
Record
48%
1238-1325 (2563)
NO
nonkenny90<$100Invested
$9.15
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.85
Record
91%
20-2 (22)
LornaPredicts<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
$1.44
PnL
+$0.14
Record
14%
93-569 (662)
SU
SulkingCryptoCTR<$100Invested
$4.78
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
17%
29-141 (170)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xda9019f7...c812b2
Slug
will-fresh-first-week-sales-be-at-least-60k