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viniiNoNo
IstarothCTR<$100YesNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 67%
Total Value
$449.21
Combined PnL
-$13.32
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$449.21
Total Shares449
Combined PnL+$1.28
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares20
Combined PnL-$14.6
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
vinii | Noavg 99.8¢ | $424.15 | $424.15 | +$0.97 | 73% 2655-968 (3623) |
ZX zxc368<$100 | Noavg 98.8¢ | $25.06 | $25.06 | +$0.31 | 99% 12646-180 (12826) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.2¢ | $15.8 | — | -$14.6 | 33% 273-556 (829) |
LI lissartter<$100 | Noavg 44.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 5172-7103 (12275) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 31¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14550-25983 (40533) |
viniiInvested
$424.15
Value
$424.15
PnL
+$0.97
Record
73%
2655-968 (3623)
ZX
zxc368<$100Invested
$25.06
Value
$25.06
PnL
+$0.31
Record
99%
12646-180 (12826)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
$15.8
Value
—
PnL
-$14.6
Record
33%
273-556 (829)
LI
lissartter<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
5172-7103 (12275)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14550-25983 (40533)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd60b8908...eac8db
Slug
will-erling-haaland-attend-the-2026-ballon-d-or-ceremony-20261016121846566