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smellyEllieYes
tetraseYes
2B9SCTR<$100No
-Dominus-<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 27, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 67%
Total Value
$930.79
Combined PnL
$120.59
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$930.79
Total Shares931
Combined PnL+$121.3
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares193
Combined PnL-$0.71
Yes — 60%No — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
smellyEllie | Yesavg 89.8¢ | $717.29 | $830.79 | +$113.5 | 50% 935-946 (1881) |
tetrase | Yesavg 92.2¢ | $100 | $100 | +$7.8 | 60% 798-535 (1333) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Noavg 0.4¢ | $0.71 | — | -$0.71 | 18% 3777-16967 (20744) |
-Dominus-<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 69% 337-154 (491) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 3.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 35% 14652-26739 (41391) |
smellyEllieInvested
$717.29
Value
$830.79
PnL
+$113.5
Record
50%
935-946 (1881)
tetraseInvested
$100
Value
$100
PnL
+$7.8
Record
60%
798-535 (1333)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$0.71
Value
—
PnL
-$0.71
Record
18%
3777-16967 (20744)
-Dominus-<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
337-154 (491)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
35%
14652-26739 (41391)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfd3ecdda...1967c2
Slug
will-donald-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-october-27-2026-20261001004229017