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NoNo
balthazar<$100No
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100NoNoYes
FrozenParasiteCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Dillon Roberts win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 75%
Total Value
$1.0K
Combined PnL
-$151.64
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$1.0K
Total Shares1,021
Combined PnL-$150.41
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares5
Combined PnL-$1.23
No — 71%Yes — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnapElectionAvoider | Noavg 67.1¢ | $502.61 | $625.5 | +$91.53 | 53% 1123-1006 (2129) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 69.9¢ | $529.15 | $380.01 | -$240.46 | 36% 15210-27314 (42524) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 98¢ | $15.28 | $15.59 | +$0.31 | 61% 20914-13310 (34224) |
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | $43.05 | $0 | +$2.67 | 56% 15278-11812 (27090) |
AL alex20011<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | $29.25 | — | -$4.46 | 48% 3433-3718 (7151) |
EL Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100 | Yesavg 24¢ | $1.23 | — | -$1.23 | 77% 11171-3425 (14596) |
FrozenParasiteCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 55% 453-367 (820) |
SN
SnapElectionAvoiderInvested
$502.61
Value
$625.5
PnL
+$91.53
Record
53%
1123-1006 (2129)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeInvested
$529.15
Value
$380.01
PnL
-$240.46
Record
36%
15210-27314 (42524)
balthazar<$100Invested
$15.28
Value
$15.59
PnL
+$0.31
Record
61%
20914-13310 (34224)
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100Invested
$43.05
Value
$0
PnL
+$2.67
Record
56%
15278-11812 (27090)
AL
alex20011<$100Invested
$29.25
Value
—
PnL
-$4.46
Record
48%
3433-3718 (7151)
EL
Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100Invested
$1.23
Value
—
PnL
-$1.23
Record
77%
11171-3425 (14596)
FrozenParasiteCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
453-367 (820)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf8d4b4d4...2a42f6
Slug
will-dillon-roberts-win-the-next-waratah-wynyard-mayoral-election