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NoYes
balthazar<$100NoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Derke play for GIANTX in 2027?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$992.66
Combined PnL
-$5.84
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$992.66
Total Shares993
Combined PnL+$1.41
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares138
Combined PnL-$7.26
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZX zxc368 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $991.25 | $992.66 | +$1.41 | 99% 12736-184 (12920) |
0X 0x38d5a13ef8e32d5e5a808ceba52d6ac78d4c063cCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $7.26 | — | -$7.26 | 66% 556-285 (841) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 94¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20749-13168 (33917) |
ME merod<$100 | Noavg 94¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 2436-2226 (4662) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14918-27049 (41967) |
ZX
zxc368Invested
$991.25
Value
$992.66
PnL
+$1.41
Record
99%
12736-184 (12920)
0X
0x38d5a13ef8e32d5e5a808ceba52d6ac78d4c063cCTR<$100Invested
$7.26
Value
—
PnL
-$7.26
Record
66%
556-285 (841)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20749-13168 (33917)
ME
merod<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
2436-2226 (4662)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14918-27049 (41967)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaa83740f...e710e9
Slug
will-derke-play-for-giantx-in-2027-1788364450495