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viniiNoNo
SocialistaCTRYes
IstarothCTR<$100YesYesNo
KimchiCapitalCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 50%
Total Value
$1.3K
Combined PnL
$386.55
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$1.3K
Total Shares1,324
Combined PnL+$615.29
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares502
Combined PnL-$228.74
No — 38%Yes — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
vinii | Noavg 31.7¢ | $580.13 | $1.3K | +$615.03 | 73% 2660-968 (3628) |
ZX zxc368<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | $25.01 | $25.01 | +$0.26 | 99% 12648-181 (12829) |
SocialistaCTR | Yesavg 70¢ | $229.11 | — | -$229.11 | 63% 2661-1572 (4233) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21.8¢ | $37.1 | — | +$0.37 | 32% 273-569 (842) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 74.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12904-9820 (22724) |
LI lissartter<$100 | Noavg 41.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 5176-7103 (12279) |
KimchiCapitalCTR<$100 | Yesavg 52.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 76% 510-161 (671) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 37.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14556-26000 (40556) |
viniiInvested
$580.13
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$615.03
Record
73%
2660-968 (3628)
ZX
zxc368<$100Invested
$25.01
Value
$25.01
PnL
+$0.26
Record
99%
12648-181 (12829)
SocialistaCTRInvested
$229.11
Value
—
PnL
-$229.11
Record
63%
2661-1572 (4233)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
$37.1
Value
—
PnL
+$0.37
Record
32%
273-569 (842)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12904-9820 (22724)
LI
lissartter<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
5176-7103 (12279)
KimchiCapitalCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
76%
510-161 (671)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14556-26000 (40556)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8369878d...9385d7
Slug
will-david-beckham-attend-the-2026-ballon-dor-ceremony